Introduction

Datamonitor's Gas and Power Capacity Forecast contains supply and demand outlooks for 32 states (EU27+ Russia, Norway, Croatia, Switzerland and Algeria) to 2030, on a year by year basis to 2015. The forecasts are based upon a regression analysis of demand against economic and demographic trends, combined with a qualitative assessment of regulatory and political drivers.

Scope of this research

• Country specific forecasts of gas and power fundamentals up to 2030, based upon sophisticated econometric analysis and regulatory review
• The power forecast includes a breakdown of the generation mix, according to legislative drivers, existing capacity phase out & planned new generation
• The gas forecast contains a summary of supply sources, based upon historical trade patterns, projected output and new pipelines
• The gas forecast also contains a projection of the states' gas production to 2030

Research and analysis highlights

The UK will be reliant on gas for around 60% of power generation 2017 2020; this reliance on one source implies security risks

Declining reserves in the North Sea and poor carbon price visibility imply increasing reliance on continental gas supplies

At current growth rates the required 20GW renewable energy installed capacity will not materialize by 2020

Key reasons to purchase this research

• Use this forecast as a reference tool for estimating future demand, supply, generation mix and capacity constraints in gas and power across Europe
• Identify growth markets and opportunities for investment according to states' long term fundamentals outlook and states' individual energy policies