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Stakeholder Insight: Breast Cancer (Hormone Receptor-Negative) - Triple-negative breast cancer offers a significant opportunity to new market entrants while Herceptin dominates the HER-2-positive market
OVERVIEW
Catalyst
Summary
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Scope of the analysis
Datamonitor insight into the hormone receptor-negative breast cancer market
Contributing experts
Related reports
Upcoming related reports
1. INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE
Coverage of the Stakeholder Insight Survey
Epidemiology
Treatment options
Treatment trends
Future treatment
2. EPIDEMIOLOGY
Introduction and background
Key points
Disease definition and diagnosis criteria
Global variation and historical trends
Incidence rates
Prevalence
Risk factors
Reproductive factors
Exogenous hormones
Lifestyle factors
Socioeconomic factors
Genetic predisposition
Epidemiologic forecasting of breast cancer
Sources of epidemiologic data
Categorization and stratification
Description of methods
Statistical analysis
Epidemiologic forecast results
Estimated incident cases and future trends of breast cancer
Segmentation of incident cases: 2010
Estimated prevalent cases
Discussion
US
Japan
Europe
Strengths of our epidemiologic projections
Conclusions
3. DISEASE OVERVIEW
Introduction
Breast cancer is the most common tumor type in females
Anatomy of the breast
Histology of breast cancer
Patient segmentation
Staging of breast cancer
Molecular markers for breast cancer
4. TREATMENT OPTIONS
Introduction
Overview of breast cancer treatment options
Overview of drug therapies approved for hormone receptor-negative breast cancer
Treatment options and treatment outcomes in early-stage (Stage I–III) breast cancer
Treatment options and treatment outcomes in metastatic (Stage IV) breast cancer
5. TREATMENT TRENDS: STAGE I–III
Triple-negative breast cancer
Treatment rates
Neoadjuvant therapy
Adjuvant therapy
HER-2-positive breast cancer
Treatment rates
Neoadjuvant therapy
Adjuvant therapy
6. TREATMENT TRENDS: STAGE IV AND RELAPSE
Triple-negative breast cancer
Stage IV at initial diagnosis
Local relapse
Distant relapse
HER-2-positive breast cancer
Stage IV at initial diagnosis
Local relapse
Distant relapse
7. FUTURE TREATMENT
Late-phase pipeline products overview
Afatinib (BIBW-2992; Boehringer Ingelheim)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Afinitor (everolimus; Novartis)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Iniparib (BSI-201; BiPar Sciences/Sanofi-Aventis)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Eribulin (E7389; Eisai)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Neratinib (HKI-272; Pfizer)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Pertuzumab (Genentech/Roche/Chugai)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Ramucirumab (IMC-1121B; Eli Lilly)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Trastuzumab-DM1 (ImmunoGen/Genentech/Roche/Chugai)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Votrient (pazopanib; GlaxoSmithKline)
Drug overview
Drug profile
Key historical events
Clinical trial data
Clinical and commercial attractiveness
Future treatment scenarios
Triple-negative breast cancer future treatment scenarios
HER-2-positive breast cancer future treatment scenarios
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Chapter 2. Epidemiology
Journal papers
Chapter 3. Disease Overview
Journal papers
Websites
Chapter 4. Treatment Options
Journal papers
Websites
Chapter 5. Treatment Trends: Stage I–III Breast Cancer
Journal papers
Websites
Datamonitor reports
Other
Chapter 6. Treatment Trends: Stage IV and Relapsed Breast Cancer
Journal papers
Websites
Other
Chapter 7. Future Treatment
Journal papers
Websites
Other
APPENDIX A
Abbreviations
Physician research methodology
Physician sample breakdown
Contributing experts
APPENDIX B
The survey questionnaire
Screener
Introduction
Section 2 – Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy for Hormone receptor negative/ HER-2-positive patients
Section 3 – Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy for Triple-negative (ER-negative, PR-negative and HER-2-negative) patients
Section 4 – Stage IV disease
Section 5 – Local relapse
Section 6 – Distant relapse
Section 7 – Future scenarios
Datamonitor consulting
Disclaimer
TABLES
Table: Cancer registry data sources from the seven major markets
Table: Prevalence of breast cancer subtypes in newly diagnosed patients (%)
Table: Incident breast cancer cases in the seven major markets, 2010–19
Table: Age-specific incident cases of breast cancer in the seven major markets, 2010
Table: Incident breast cancer cases by menopausal status in the seven major markets, 2010
Table: Stage-specific breast cancer incident cases in the seven major markets, 2010
Table: Distribution of incident breast cancer cases by cancer subtypes in the seven major markets, 2010
Table: Estimated 5-year prevalent cases of breast cancer in the seven major markets, 2010–19
Table: Total 5-year prevalent cases by stage at diagnosis in the seven major markets, 2010
Table: Approved cytotoxic therapies for breast cancer in the seven major markets, November 2010
Table: Approved molecular targeted therapies for breast cancer in the seven major markets, November 2010
Table: Summary of treatment outcomes for selected adjuvant drug regimens in Stage I–III breast cancer
Table: Summary of treatment outcomes for selected neoadjuvant drug regimens in Stage I–III breast cancer
Table: Summary of treatment outcomes for selected drug regimens in Stage IV breast cancer
Table: Products in late-phase development (Phase III clinical trials or pre-registration) for breast cancer, November 2010
Table: Afatinib – drug profile, 2010
Table: Afatinib: key historical events, 2007–10
Table: Clinical development of afatinib in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Afinitor – drug profile, 2010
Table: Afinitor: key historical events, 2003–10
Table: Clinical development of Afinitor in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Iniparib – drug profile, 2010
Table: Iniparib: key historical events, 2006–10
Table: Clinical development of iniparib in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Eribulin – drug profile, 2010
Table: Eribulin: key historical events, 2006–10
Table: Clinical development of eribulin in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Neratinib – drug profile, 2010
Table: Neratinib: key historical events, 2008–10
Table: Clinical development of neratinib in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Pertuzumab – drug profile, 2009
Table: Pertuzumab: key historical events, 2003–10
Table: Clinical development of pertuzumab in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Ramucirumab – drug profile, 2010
Table: Ramucirumab: key historical events, 2005–10
Table: Clinical development of Ramucirumab, 2010
Table: Trastuzumab-DM1 – drug profile, 2010
Table: Trastuzumab-DM1: key historical events, 2000–10
Table: Clinical development of trastuzumab-DM1 in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Votrient – drug profile, 2010
Table: Votrient: key historical events, 2005–10
Table: Clinical development of Votrient in breast cancer, 2010
Table: Breast cancer chemotherapy regimen abbreviations
Table: Medical specialty of respondents to the Stakeholder Insight: Breast Cancer (Hormone Receptor-Negative) questionnaire
Table: Number of years spent in specialty for respondents to the Stakeholder Insight: Breast Cancer (Hormone Receptor-Negative) questionnaire
Table: Type of hospital worked in by respondents to the Stakeholder Insight: Breast Cancer (Hormone Receptor-Negative) questionnaire
FIGURES
Figure: Age-adjusted incidence rates of breast cancer in the seven major markets, 2008
Figure: Age-adjusted female breast cancer incidence rates in the seven major markets, 1983–2002
Figure: The human female breast
Figure: Histological classification of breast cancer
Figure: Molecular biomarkers used in breast cancer
Figure: Percentage of Stage I triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the neoadjuvant setting in Stage I HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the neoadjuvant setting in Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each neoadjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the neoadjuvant setting in Stage III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the adjuvant setting in Stage I HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the adjuvant setting in Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each adjuvant regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the adjuvant setting in Stage III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Correlation between percentage of Stage II HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative adjuvant patients receiving anthracycline versus Herceptin, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each first-line treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each first-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for first-line treatment of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of first-line triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to second-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each second-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for second-line treatment of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of second-line triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to third-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each third-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for third-line treatment of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of third-line triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to fourth-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each fourth-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for fourth-line treatment of triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of fourth-line triple-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to further lines of chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I–III triple-negative breast cancer patients who experience local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality for local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each regimen for local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for local relapse in triple-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I–III triple-negative breast cancer patients who experience distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each first-line treatment modality for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each first-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the first-line for distant relapse in triple-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving first-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to second-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each second-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the second-line for distant relapse in triple-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving second-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to third-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving each third-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the third-line for distant relapse in triple-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of triple-negative breast cancer patients receiving third-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to further lines of chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each first-line treatment modality across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each first-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for first-line treatment of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of first-line HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to second-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each second-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for second-line treatment of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of second-line HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to third-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each third-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for third-line treatment of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of third-line HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to fourth-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis receiving each fourth-line regimen across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for fourth-line treatment of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of fourth-line HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients with Stage IV disease at diagnosis progressing to further lines of chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I–III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients who experience local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each treatment modality for local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each regimen for local relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents for local relapse in HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of Stage I–III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients who experience distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each first-line treatment modality for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each first-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the first-line for distant relapse in HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving first-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to second-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each second-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the second-line for distant relapse in HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving second-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to third-line chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving each third-line regimen for distant relapse across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Uptake of key agents in the third-line for distant relapse in HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Percentage of HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer patients receiving fourth-line chemotherapy for distant relapse who progress to further lines of chemotherapy across the seven major markets, 2010
Figure: Phase II trial results investigating neoadjuvant Afinitor plus Femara in hormone receptor-positive breast cancer
Figure: Phase II results investigating first/second-line Afinitor monotherapy in metastatic breast cancer
Figure: Phase II results investigating second-line Afinitor in combination with Herceptin and paclitaxel in HER-2-overexpressing metastatic breast cancer
Figure: Phase II randomized study evaluating iniparib in combination with Gemzar and carboplatin in first-line or higher triple-negative breast cancer
Figure: Phase II study investigating second-line or higher eribulin in chemotherapy-refractory advanced breast cancer patients
Figure: Phase II study investigating third-line or higher eribulin in chemotherapy-refractory advanced breast cancer patients
Figure: Phase III study investigating third-line or higher eribulin in chemotherapy-refractory advanced breast cancer patients
Figure: Phase I/II safety and efficacy trial of neratinib in combination with weekly paclitaxel in patients with solid tumors and HER-2-positive metastatic breast cancer
Figure: Phase II study results for pertuzumab in HER-2-positive metastatic breast cancer following failure of prior Herceptin
Figure: Phase II study results of pertuzumab in metastatic breast cancer
Figure: Phase II study of trastuzumab-DM1 in metastatic HER-2-positive breast cancer patients previously treated with at least one line of therapy (including anti-HER-2 therapy)
Figure: Phase II study of trastuzumab-DM1 in metastatic HER-2-positive breast cancer patients previously treated with at least two lines of therapy (including Herceptin and Tykerb)
Figure: Phase II results investigating first-line Tykerb with or without Votrient in HER-2-positive advanced or metastatic breast cancer
Figure: Likelihood of future scenarios in Stage I–III triple-negative breast cancer (mean scores), 2010
Figure: Likelihood of future scenarios in metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (mean scores), 2010
Figure: Likelihood of future scenarios in Stage I–III HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer (mean scores), 2010
Figure: Likelihood of future scenarios in metastatic HER-2-positive, hormone receptor-negative breast cancer (mean scores), 2010
Report
Published by
Datamonitor
Published on
03 Nov 2010
Product code
HC00031-001
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